#98 - Ed Yardeni - “We've Got Good Growth with Low Inflation and That's a Very Good Environment for Stocks and Okay Environment for Bonds"

52 minutes

In Episode 98, we welcome a true market veteran, Dr. Ed Yardeni.

The episode starts with a fun story about Ed’s school days, studying off Janet Yellen’s notes in James Tobin’s class. But Meb soon brings up Ed’s new book, Predicting the Markets. In it, he writes that if books had theme songs, the appropriate song for his would be the 80s hit, “Don’t Worry Be Happy.” Ed explains this is because, when looking back over the past 40 years, the market has been extraordinarily bullish as a whole. There were plenty of reason to worry along the way, but all in all, the market rewarded brave investors.

This eventually leads into a conversation about valuations today that appear somewhat grim, and what Ed’s thoughts are looking forward.

Ed tells us it’s okay to be bearish, but don’t forget to get back into the market. He says, “history shows the smartest thing to do is just to invest over the years as you’re getting old, keep putting more money into the markets…recognizing that sometimes you’re going to get bargains and sometimes you’re not.”

The conversation drifts toward making macro predictions and the effect of Washington DC on the market. Ed tells us we’re overwhelmed with information and news, which is all the more reason to try to find the fundamental truth that’s out there. Washington doesn’t matter as much as Washington likes to think it matters. Ed gives us more of his thoughts on the market response to Obama, Trump, and the Fed, as well as what he believes actually creates jobs.

The conversation turns toward bonds, with Meb asking why bond movements can be challenging to predict. Ed points toward inflation, taking us back to the 50s to discuss bond yields and how they’ve moved in the years since. He brings in nominal GDP and central bankers into the mix.

A conversation about negative yielding sovereigns brings various central bankers into the spotlight. Ed walks us through a look back at some of the effects of Fed involvement. He has some interesting thoughts on what the Fed does well – and not so well.  

This is a great show, melding market history, implementable market wisdom, and Ed’s fascinating career. There’s way more, including where Ed sees the biggest changes coming in technology, and how it will affect markets… Ed’s favorite three indicators… which period over Ed’s 40-year career stands out the most… Ed’s movie reviews… and of course, his most memorable trade.

What are the details? Find out in Episode 98.

More episodes from The Meb Faber Show

#383 – Mike Dudas, 6th Man Ventures – Investing in Web3 & The Metaverse While Launching LinksDAO

In episode 383, we welcome our guest, Mike Dudas, founder and General Partner of 6th Man Ventures, which focuses on investing in Web3 infrastructure and the metaverse.  His previous …

#382 – Dan Zwirn, Arena Investors - A Stoic Approach to Investing

In episode 382, we welcome our guest, Dan Zwirn, CEO and CIO of Arena Investors, a firm focused on global special situations and asset and credit investments.

In today’s episode, we’re …

The Best Investment Writing Volume 5: Selected Writing from Prominent Investors and Authors

This year, we’re bringing you the entire volume of The Best Investment Writing Volume 5 in podcast format. You’ll hear from some of the most …

How you can listen to this podcast

You can listen to episodes right here on the website, or if you prefer, in a podcast app. Listening in an app makes it easier to keep track of what you’ve already heard, listen without using your data plan and many other conveniences.

Recommended apps
Start listening to #125 - Tom Barton - The Biggest Problem Investors Have is Things Change...and They Don't Change
1:24:56
Start listening to #125 - Tom Barton - The Biggest Problem Investors Have is Things Change...and They Don't Change
1:24:56